Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Vitória Setúbal vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
VST
5 - 1
BOA
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
VST
2 - 1
LAU
79%
13%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
VST
3 - 0
FAB
76%
16%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
ACA
1 - 0
VST
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
SSO
1 - 0
HKS
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
HKS
3 - 0
SSO
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1967 |
TOT
4 - 3
HKS
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
HKS
0 - 2
TOT
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |