Vitória Setúbal vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
VST
1 - 1
SAM
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 1
VST
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
VST
0 - 1
PAÇ
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
BOA
0 - 0
VST
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
VST
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
GFC
0 - 1
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
SLB
0 - 2
GFC
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
GFC
1 - 0
MAR
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 3
GFC
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
GFC
1 - 0
BEL
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |