Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 4-2
Vitória Setúbal vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
VIT
1 - 1
VST
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
VST
0 - 0
SCP
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
ATL
0 - 1
VST
22%
27%
51%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
VST
2 - 1
VAR
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
LYO
1 - 2
VST
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
TOR
0 - 0
FIO
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
FIO
2 - 1
NAP
62%
24%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
FIO
1 - 0
VER
66%
22%
12%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
FIO
2 - 1
ROS
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
INT
1 - 2
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |