Vitória Setúbal vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
62%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
VST
0 - 1
SPB
16%
22%
62%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
VST
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VST
0 - 1
ACA
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VST
1 - 0
EST
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NAP
1 - 3
FCP
45%
24%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
GAL
1 - 0
FCP
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 1
FCP
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FCP
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |