Vitória Setúbal vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
VIT
4 - 0
VST
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
VST
1 - 3
EST
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 1
VST
29%
30%
42%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
VST
2 - 0
BMA
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
FCP
1 - 1
VIT
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
EST
1 - 3
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1975 |
FCP
2 - 1
HSV
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
FCP
2 - 0
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
HSV
2 - 0
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |