Vitória Setúbal vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
CDM
0 - 3
VST
15%
22%
63%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
VST
2 - 0
FAB
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
FAR
0 - 2
VST
27%
28%
45%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
VST
2 - 2
STU
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
VST
4 - 0
ORI
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
FCP
1 - 0
FCB
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
FCP
1 - 0
FCB
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
OLH
2 - 1
FCP
24%
28%
48%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACA
71%
19%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |