Vitória Setúbal vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
53.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
VIT
3 - 1
VST
61%
19%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ACA
1 - 4
VST
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
VST
0 - 3
SLB
18%
18%
64%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
BEL
7 - 1
VST
82%
11%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
VST
1 - 1
SPB
41%
22%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
FCP
7 - 1
ACA
75%
13%
13%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCP
80%
11%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
FCP
0 - 2
BEL
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
34%
21%
46%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
FCP
7 - 3
OLH
70%
15%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |