Vitória Setúbal vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 1
VST
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
VST
8 - 0
LEX
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
FAR
0 - 3
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
EST
2 - 0
FAR
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
SPB
1 - 0
FAR
56%
22%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAR
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
FAR
0 - 1
VST
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |