Vitória Setúbal vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
BEL
1 - 0
VST
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
VST
2 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
SPB
1 - 1
VST
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
VST
2 - 0
VIT
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
OLI
0 - 0
FAM
30%
23%
46%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
FAM
0 - 1
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 1
FAM
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
FAM
1 - 2
SCP
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
BOA
3 - 0
FAM
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |