Vitória Setúbal vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
SPB
0 - 0
VST
27%
29%
43%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
VST
3 - 1
FAR
81%
13%
5%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 2
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
EST
1 - 0
FAB
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
FAB
2 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
BMA
0 - 1
FAB
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 1
VST
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -2 |