Vitória Setúbal vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
ESP
1 - 0
VST
13%
20%
67%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
VST
1 - 1
ZAR
79%
15%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
VST
3 - 2
BOA
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1974 |
VST
2 - 2
SLB
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
VIT
1 - 4
VST
27%
29%
43%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
FAB
2 - 1
VIT
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
FCP
2 - 1
FAB
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
FCP
3 - 1
FAB
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
ORI
3 - 2
FAB
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 1
BEL
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |