Vitória Setúbal vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
LGC
1 - 2
VST
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
VST
1 - 3
SCP
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
VIT
3 - 2
VST
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
VST
2 - 2
BEL
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
FCP
5 - 0
VST
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
FAB
2 - 0
VAR
62%
19%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
LEX
2 - 1
FAB
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
SEI
0 - 2
FAB
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
FAB
2 - 1
LGC
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
SCP
0 - 0
FAB
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |