Vitória Setúbal vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
VST
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VST
1 - 1
FEI
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
VST
56%
24%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
VST
2 - 2
NAV
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VST
0 - 0
GFC
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
EST
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
MOR
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 3
EST
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
EST
2 - 2
OLH
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TRO
0 - 1
EST
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |