Vitória Setúbal vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
55.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
SCP
3 - 1
VST
88%
8%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
VST
5 - 1
ATL
44%
23%
33%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
VIT
5 - 0
VST
70%
16%
14%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
VST
3 - 1
FCP
23%
21%
56%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
6 - 2
VST
55%
21%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
EST
1 - 3
SLB
37%
21%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
BEL
6 - 2
EST
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
EST
6 - 1
OLH
76%
13%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
24%
20%
56%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
EST
8 - 1
BOA
78%
12%
9%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |