Vitória Setúbal vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
53.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
SCP
8 - 1
VST
87%
8%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
VST
3 - 2
ATL
40%
21%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 1
VST
44%
22%
34%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
VST
3 - 2
FCP
26%
21%
53%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
VIT
3 - 1
VST
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
EST
7 - 0
ACA
88%
8%
5%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
SLB
2 - 3
EST
88%
8%
5%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
EST
5 - 2
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
SPB
5 - 2
EST
42%
21%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
EST
3 - 1
OLH
66%
15%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |