Vitória Setúbal vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
VST
2 - 3
BEL
20%
19%
61%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
SCP
3 - 0
VST
93%
5%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
VST
1 - 2
FCP
27%
19%
54%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
VST
4 - 2
VIT
68%
16%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
VST
3 - 8
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
EST
5 - 2
VIT
76%
13%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
EST
1 - 1
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
EST
1 - 2
OLH
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
SCP
3 - 2
EST
92%
5%
3%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
EST
4 - 0
SAL
83%
11%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +1 |