Vitória Setúbal vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
BOA
0 - 0
VST
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
VST
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 0
VST
55%
24%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
58%
23%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
78%
15%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
SPB
33%
28%
40%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ACA
2 - 0
ESP
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 5
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 1
BOA
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
POR
2 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |