Vitória Setúbal vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MAI
2 - 1
VST
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
VST
1 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
VST
3 - 0
FCM
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
OVA
2 - 1
VST
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
VST
3 - 1
LEX
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 3
FCM
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
OVA
3 - 0
AVE
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 1
LEX
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
UNM
3 - 0
AVE
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |