Vitória Setúbal vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 1
VST
40%
32%
28%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
VST
2 - 0
SAL
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
SLB
1 - 1
VST
87%
9%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
VST
3 - 1
SPC
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
VST
0 - 0
POR
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
AVE
0 - 1
VIT
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
MAR
1 - 0
AVE
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
AVE
1 - 2
FCP
14%
23%
63%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
BOA
5 - 1
AVE
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
AVE
1 - 2
SCP
17%
22%
61%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |