Vitória Setúbal vs Carcavelinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
16.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
FCP
11 - 0
VST
88%
7%
5%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
BEL
5 - 0
VST
68%
16%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
VST
1 - 1
ACA
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
SCP
5 - 1
VST
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
VST
4 - 0
LEX
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
BEL
1 - 0
CAR
77%
13%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
CAR
4 - 4
FCP
27%
22%
51%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
85%
9%
6%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
FCB
2 - 2
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
CAR
2 - 1
FCB
53%
21%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |