Vitória Setúbal vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
SPC
1 - 1
VST
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
POR
1 - 0
VST
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
VST
2 - 2
VIT
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
VST
4 - 2
MAR
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
FCP
5 - 0
VST
87%
9%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
SLB
3 - 1
VIT
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 2
SLB
11%
24%
65%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
SLB
1 - 0
BOA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
SCP
0 - 0
SLB
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |