Vitória Setúbal vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
56.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
EST
3 - 1
VST
43%
30%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
VIT
5 - 0
VST
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
VST
2 - 0
UDL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
POR
2 - 0
VST
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
VST
2 - 2
SLB
18%
27%
55%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
SLB
3 - 0
BOA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
ESP
0 - 1
SLB
15%
26%
59%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
SLB
2 - 0
BOA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
ESP
1 - 2
SLB
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
SLB
1 - 0
PEN
91%
6%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |