Vitória Setúbal vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
POR
1 - 1
VST
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
VST
1 - 1
ESP
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
BOA
0 - 0
VST
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
VST
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 0
VST
55%
24%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
SLB
0 - 0
SPB
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
9%
17%
74%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
SLB
1 - 1
POR
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 5
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |