Vitória Setúbal vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
UNI
0 - 0
VST
24%
23%
53%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
EST
1 - 1
VST
33%
30%
37%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
VST
3 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
BMA
4 - 2
VST
34%
32%
34%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
SLB
5 - 1
FAB
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1976 |
VIT
0 - 3
SLB
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
SLB
7 - 1
SPB
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1976 |
BYM
5 - 1
SLB
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
EST
0 - 4
SLB
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |