Vitória Setúbal vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
52.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1965 |
VST
2 - 0
SCP
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1965 |
SCP
1 - 1
VST
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
VST
2 - 2
SCP
43%
23%
34%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
SAL
0 - 1
VST
32%
23%
45%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
VST
8 - 1
SAL
83%
11%
7%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1965 |
SLB
9 - 0
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 4
SLB
23%
21%
56%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
OLH
2 - 3
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
SLB
4 - 1
OLH
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1965 |
INT
1 - 0
SLB
69%
16%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |