Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 5-4
Vitória Setúbal vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
62.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 1
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1960 |
BOA
3 - 1
VST
49%
22%
29%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1960 |
VST
1 - 1
LGC
60%
21%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
SPB
1 - 1
VST
59%
20%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
VIT
0 - 1
VST
70%
17%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 2
FCB
73%
14%
12%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
BEL
0 - 4
SLB
35%
23%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
SLB
8 - 0
SPC
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 1
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 1
SLB
43%
21%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |