Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 5-7
Vitória Setúbal vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
52.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
VST
1 - 0
BEL
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
90%
7%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
VST
2 - 2
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
VST
2 - 0
BOA
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
VIT
0 - 0
VST
55%
21%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
BOA
2 - 2
SLB
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
SLB
5 - 1
VIT
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
SPC
0 - 0
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
SLB
6 - 0
EST
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
ATL
0 - 3
SLB
24%
21%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |