Vitória Setúbal vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1936 |
VST
3 - 2
SCP
42%
21%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
ACA
0 - 2
VST
37%
22%
40%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
VST
4 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
68%
16%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
VST
0 - 2
BEL
53%
20%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1936 |
BOA
2 - 2
SLB
35%
21%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
CAR
0 - 0
SLB
26%
20%
55%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
5 - 1
FCP
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |