Vitória Setúbal vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
VST
1 - 1
FCP
47%
21%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
SCP
3 - 1
VST
62%
18%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
VST
5 - 0
ACA
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
CAR
1 - 4
VST
46%
21%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
BEL
1 - 2
VST
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
SLB
2 - 1
CAR
80%
12%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
SLB
8 - 2
BOA
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
SCP
2 - 4
SLB
57%
19%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
ACA
2 - 6
SLB
26%
20%
55%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
FCP
2 - 2
SLB
61%
18%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |