Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 4-3
Vitória Setúbal vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 1
VST
29%
27%
45%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
VST
6 - 1
FAR
81%
11%
7%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1970 |
AND
2 - 1
VST
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
LEX
2 - 1
VST
22%
27%
51%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
VST
2 - 0
SLB
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
KSK
2 - 1
AND
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
AND
2 - 1
ANT
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1970 |
AND
2 - 1
VST
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
KSV
1 - 0
AND
19%
24%
57%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
AND
0 - 1
SDL
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |