Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-4
Vitória Setúbal vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
BEL
0 - 1
VST
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
VIT
4 - 1
VST
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1965 |
AGF
2 - 1
VST
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 1965 |
VST
3 - 1
SLB
27%
21%
52%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1965 |
VST
2 - 0
SCP
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1965 |
AGF
2 - 1
VST
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
AGF
2 - 3
BRE
73%
14%
13%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
AGF
27%
21%
52%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1961 |
AGF
1 - 4
SLB
34%
23%
43%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 1
AGF
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |