Vitória Setúbal vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
VST
0 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
SPB
3 - 0
VST
35%
30%
35%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
35%
26%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 5
VST
29%
32%
40%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1976 |
VST
5 - 3
BMA
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
ACA
1 - 0
VAR
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
EST
0 - 1
ACA
59%
25%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1977 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACA
82%
13%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
ACA
0 - 0
ATL
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |