Vitória Setúbal vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
ATL
0 - 2
VST
36%
28%
37%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
VST
0 - 2
SCP
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
VAR
0 - 1
VST
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
VST
0 - 0
LEX
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
VIT
1 - 1
VST
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
31%
24%
46%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACA
25%
23%
51%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
SPB
1 - 3
ACA
50%
23%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
FAB
0 - 2
ACA
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |