Vitória Setúbal vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 4
VST
54%
20%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
VST
2 - 0
FCB
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
VST
1 - 1
LGC
61%
20%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
2 - 1
VST
52%
21%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
VST
4 - 0
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 1
ORI
72%
15%
13%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACA
61%
20%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
40%
24%
35%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
CAL
1 - 0
ACA
46%
23%
32%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ACA
8 - 1
FAB
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |