Vitória Setúbal vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
VST
2 - 3
SPC
45%
22%
34%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
FCP
5 - 0
VST
75%
14%
11%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
VST
0 - 3
SPB
53%
22%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
ATL
4 - 0
VST
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
VST
1 - 3
SCP
18%
19%
63%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
OLH
3 - 0
ACA
58%
19%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
56%
19%
26%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
BOA
5 - 0
ACA
57%
20%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCP
41%
21%
38%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
VIT
0 - 2
ACA
61%
18%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |