Vitória Setúbal vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.7%
13.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
VST
5 - 0
BOA
63%
19%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
OEL
3 - 3
VST
68%
16%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1949 |
VST
2 - 0
EST
24%
21%
56%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
SCP
3 - 1
VST
88%
8%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
VST
5 - 1
ATL
44%
23%
33%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
OLI
2 - 1
ACA
51%
19%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
ACA
1 - 0
BOA
51%
21%
28%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
OEL
12 - 1
ACA
78%
12%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
ACA
1 - 5
EST
24%
19%
57%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
SCP
6 - 1
ACA
88%
7%
5%
|
52 | 88 | 36 | 0 |