Vitória Setúbal vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
16.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
SLB
3 - 0
VST
87%
8%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
VST
0 - 3
BEL
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
SPB
3 - 1
VST
66%
17%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
VST
3 - 1
OLH
40%
22%
39%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
BOA
3 - 1
VST
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 2
VIT
59%
19%
22%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 6
SLB
16%
17%
66%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
BEL
7 - 1
ACA
88%
8%
5%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
ACA
4 - 3
SPB
54%
20%
26%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
OLH
5 - 2
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |