Vitória Setúbal vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
VST
1 - 3
BEL
13%
17%
71%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
VST
5 - 3
VIT
53%
21%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1943 |
OLH
8 - 0
VST
63%
18%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
VST
1 - 3
FCP
26%
20%
54%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
SCP
3 - 2
VST
93%
4%
2%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ACA
3 - 2
VIT
69%
15%
16%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1943 |
ACA
1 - 2
ATL
56%
19%
25%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
SAL
3 - 1
ACA
66%
17%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
ACA
1 - 5
OLH
78%
12%
10%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |