Vitória Setúbal vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
12.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
SCP
5 - 1
VST
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
VST
4 - 0
LEX
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 0
VST
39%
23%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
VST
3 - 0
FCP
36%
22%
43%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
SLB
8 - 1
VST
81%
11%
8%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 3
SLB
22%
19%
59%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 0
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
ACA
3 - 5
BEL
33%
22%
45%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
LEX
0 - 3
ACA
69%
16%
14%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
20%
19%
61%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |