Vitoria de Sernache vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
54%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 2
OLE
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
VIT
30%
22%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OLE
2 - 1
VIT
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 2
FAT
19%
25%
56%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
NAV
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 1
ALC
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
8%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 2
LUS
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |