Vitoria de Sernache vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 3
VIT
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
POM
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ADN
2 - 0
VIT
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 0
TOU
51%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PAM
0 - 1
VIT
61%
20%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 0
PAM
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 3
BEN
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
5 - 0
OLI
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
NAV
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 1
BEN
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |