Vitoria de Sernache vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIT
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADM
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 2
VIT
40%
25%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
ALC
15%
24%
61%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ADM
3 - 1
PEN
55%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
NAV
30%
27%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAL
14%
24%
62%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
PEN
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |