Vitoria de Sernache vs Oliveira Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
RDA
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GDF
0 - 1
VIT
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 3
BMA
9%
19%
72%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 2
VIT
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 3
ANA
13%
22%
65%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 1
OLE
38%
27%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
IDE
2 - 1
OLI
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 1
TOR
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
OLI
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |