Vitoria de Sernache vs Oliveira Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
6 - 0
POM
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
VIT
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 3
NAV
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PAM
2 - 2
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
TOU
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
OLI
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
POM
0 - 3
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 3
MOR
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |