Vitoria de Sernache vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIT
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 1
ALC
27%
27%
46%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ADM
3 - 4
NAV
45%
23%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 5
SER
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 0
CAL
22%
27%
51%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
NAV
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |