Vitoria de Sernache vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 1
TOU
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 2
VIT
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
PAM
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
NAV
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 2
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
POM
2 - 1
NAV
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 2
BEN
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |