Vitoria de Sernache vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
IDE
3 - 0
VIT
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
OLI
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
CON
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
PRA
3 - 1
VIT
85%
12%
4%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 2
SER
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAL
45%
26%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
PRA
1 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
UDL
29%
26%
46%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
RIO
4%
13%
83%
|
40 | 79 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
GDF
1 - 2
MAR
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |