Vitoria de Sernache vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
64.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 0
VIT
61%
21%
17%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 4
VIT
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
VIL
24%
22%
54%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 2
OLE
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAF
14 - 1
NAV
70%
20%
10%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAF
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MAF
3 - 2
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
OLE
0 - 1
MAF
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 0
CAR
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |