Vitoria de Sernache vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
VIT
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
OPE
3 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 3
BEN
16%
26%
58%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
80%
13%
6%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAR
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FAT
1 - 0
BEN
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UDL
0 - 3
FAT
69%
19%
11%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 4
FAT
14%
19%
68%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FAT
5 - 1
IDE
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |