Vitoria de Sernache vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
PEN
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UDL
5 - 1
VIT
69%
20%
11%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 2
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 2
ALC
14%
20%
67%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 0
CRA
66%
19%
16%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CRA
77%
16%
7%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
21%
67%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 1
CRA
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |